{"generatedAt":"2026-08-01T08:06:12+00:00","modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","modelCount":26,"disclaimer":"Live prediction history for finished-match verification on the sports data page.","page":1,"pageSize":50,"rows":[{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1440677","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T18:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-24 02:00","leagueEn":"欧罗巴资格","leagueZh":"欧罗巴资格","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"圣加仑","away":"本菲卡","homeZh":"圣加仑","awayZh":"本菲卡","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"H","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.0484,"D":0.0563,"A":0.8952},"marketProbs":{"H":0.1204,"D":0.2007,"A":0.6789},"bookOdds":{"H":7.5,"D":4.5,"A":1.33},"marketSource":"bookmaker_b365","ev":0.1907,"valueDiff":0.2163,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.8952,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-24|圣加仑|本菲卡","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.0484,"D":0.0563,"A":0.8952},"marketProbs":{"H":0.1204,"D":0.2007,"A":0.6789},"bookOdds":{"H":7.5,"D":4.5,"A":1.33},"marketSource":"bookmaker_b365","ev":0.1907,"valueDiff":0.2163,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.8952,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"资格赛2","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"61","oddsAll":[{"company":"","homeWater":null,"handicap":"","awayWater":null},{"company":"","homeWater":null,"handicap":"","awayWater":null},{"company":"","homeWater":null,"handicap":"","awayWater":null}],"oddsCompany":"Bet365","asiaHandicap":"-0.75","asiaHandicapValue":-0.75,"asiaHomeWater":1.14,"asiaAwayWater":5.75},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358457","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T02:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 10:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"圣何塞地震","away":"奥兰多城","homeZh":"圣何塞地震","awayZh":"奥兰多城","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3744,"D":0.2596,"A":0.3659},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.2461,"valueDiff":-0.0699,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3744,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","gameKey":"2026-07-23|圣何塞地震|奥兰多城","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3744,"D":0.2596,"A":0.3659},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":null,"valueDiff":-0.0699,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3744,"hasSignal":null,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","details":{"pick":"H","modelProbs":{"H":0.3744,"D":0.2596,"A":0.3659},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"marketSource":"league_baseline","bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"ev":null,"valueDiff":-0.0699,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3744},"actual":"A","correct":false}],"scoreHome":0,"scoreAway":4,"actual":"A","correct":false,"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"51","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.82,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":1.07},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.8},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.98,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.78}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"半球/一球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.75,"asiaHomeWater":0.82,"asiaAwayWater":1.07},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358456","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T02:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 10:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"波特兰伐木工","away":"达拉斯FC","homeZh":"波特兰伐木工","awayZh":"达拉斯FC","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.3512,"D":0.2678,"A":0.381},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.0888,"valueDiff":0.085,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.381,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","gameKey":"2026-07-23|波特兰伐木工|达拉斯fc","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.3512,"D":0.2678,"A":0.381},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":null,"valueDiff":0.085,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.381,"hasSignal":null,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","details":{"pick":"A","modelProbs":{"H":0.3512,"D":0.2678,"A":0.381},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"marketSource":"league_baseline","bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"ev":null,"valueDiff":0.085,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.381},"actual":"D","correct":false}],"scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":2,"actual":"D","correct":false,"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"50","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.96,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.93},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.92,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.87},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.85,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.93}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.96,"asiaAwayWater":0.93},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358455","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T02:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 10:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"洛杉矶FC","away":"皇家盐湖城","homeZh":"洛杉矶FC","awayZh":"皇家盐湖城","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3721,"D":0.2727,"A":0.3552},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.1232,"valueDiff":-0.0722,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3721,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","gameKey":"2026-07-23|洛杉矶fc|皇家盐湖城","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3721,"D":0.2727,"A":0.3552},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":null,"valueDiff":-0.0722,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3721,"hasSignal":null,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","details":{"pick":"H","modelProbs":{"H":0.3721,"D":0.2727,"A":0.3552},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"marketSource":"league_baseline","bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"ev":null,"valueDiff":-0.0722,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3721},"actual":"H","correct":true}],"scoreHome":3,"scoreAway":1,"actual":"H","correct":true,"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"49","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.92,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.97},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.87,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.92},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.88,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.9}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"半球/一球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.75,"asiaHomeWater":0.92,"asiaAwayWater":0.97},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358452","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T02:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 10:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"洛杉矶银河","away":"圣路易斯城","homeZh":"洛杉矶银河","awayZh":"圣路易斯城","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.3614,"D":0.2756,"A":0.363},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.0095,"valueDiff":0.067,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.363,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","gameKey":"2026-07-23|洛杉矶银河|圣路易斯城","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.3614,"D":0.2756,"A":0.363},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":null,"valueDiff":0.067,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.363,"hasSignal":null,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","details":{"pick":"A","modelProbs":{"H":0.3614,"D":0.2756,"A":0.363},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"marketSource":"league_baseline","bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"ev":null,"valueDiff":0.067,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.363},"actual":"A","correct":true}],"scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":3,"actual":"A","correct":false,"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"48","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.98,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.93},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.95,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.85},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.84}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.98,"asiaAwayWater":0.93},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358450","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T02:05:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 10:05","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"科罗拉多急流","away":"圣地亚哥FC","homeZh":"科罗拉多急流","awayZh":"圣地亚哥FC","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3841,"D":0.2665,"A":0.3494},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.1801,"valueDiff":-0.0602,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3841,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","gameKey":"2026-07-23|科罗拉多急流|圣地亚哥fc","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3841,"D":0.2665,"A":0.3494},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":null,"valueDiff":-0.0602,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3841,"hasSignal":null,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","details":{"pick":"H","modelProbs":{"H":0.3841,"D":0.2665,"A":0.3494},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"marketSource":"league_baseline","bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"ev":null,"valueDiff":-0.0602,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3841},"actual":"H","correct":true}],"scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":0,"actual":"H","correct":true,"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"47","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.85,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":1.03},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.85,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.95},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.86,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.9}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.85,"asiaAwayWater":1.03},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358443","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T01:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 09:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"奥斯汀FC","away":"西雅图海湾人","homeZh":"奥斯汀FC","awayZh":"西雅图海湾人","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.3548,"D":0.2797,"A":0.3656},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.1276,"valueDiff":0.0696,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3656,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","gameKey":"2026-07-23|奥斯汀fc|西雅图海湾人","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.3548,"D":0.2797,"A":0.3656},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":null,"valueDiff":0.0696,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3656,"hasSignal":null,"predictedAt":"2026-07-23T05:00:36+00:00","details":{"pick":"A","modelProbs":{"H":0.3548,"D":0.2797,"A":0.3656},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4443,"D":0.2596,"A":0.296},"marketSource":"league_baseline","bookOdds":{"H":2.25,"D":3.85,"A":3.38},"ev":null,"valueDiff":0.0696,"evThreshold":null,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3656},"actual":"H","correct":false}],"scoreHome":3,"scoreAway":1,"actual":"H","correct":true,"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"46","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.96,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.94},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.9},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.85,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.91}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手","asiaHandicapValue":0.0,"asiaHomeWater":0.96,"asiaAwayWater":0.94},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358449","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T00:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 08:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"纳什维尔SC","away":"蒙特利尔CF","homeZh":"纳什维尔SC","awayZh":"蒙特利尔CF","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.6407,"D":0.2169,"A":0.1424},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.4352,"valueDiff":0.1952,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1755,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.6407,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|纳什维尔sc|蒙特利尔cf","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.6407,"D":0.2169,"A":0.1424},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.4352,"valueDiff":0.1952,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1755,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.6407,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"44","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.92,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.97},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.87,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.92},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.86,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.92}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"一球","asiaHandicapValue":-1.0,"asiaHomeWater":0.92,"asiaAwayWater":0.97},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358447","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T00:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 08:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"堪萨斯城竞技","away":"明尼苏达联","homeZh":"堪萨斯城竞技","awayZh":"明尼苏达联","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.3003,"D":0.2573,"A":0.4424},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.4998,"valueDiff":0.1477,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1046,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.4424,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|堪萨斯城竞技|明尼苏达联","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.3003,"D":0.2573,"A":0.4424},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.4998,"valueDiff":0.1477,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1046,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.4424,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"43","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.91,"handicap":"受平手/半球","awayWater":0.97},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.85,"handicap":"受平手/半球","awayWater":0.95},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.92,"handicap":"受平手/半球","awayWater":0.86}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"受平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.91,"asiaAwayWater":0.97},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358445","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T00:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 08:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"休斯敦迪纳摩","away":"华盛顿联","homeZh":"休斯敦迪纳摩","awayZh":"华盛顿联","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"D","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.549,"D":0.2452,"A":0.2058},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.2298,"valueDiff":0.1035,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0927,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.549,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|休斯敦迪纳摩|华盛顿联","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.549,"D":0.2452,"A":0.2058},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.2298,"valueDiff":0.1035,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0927,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.549,"predictedAt":"","actual":"D","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"42","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.88},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.97,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.82},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.79,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.99}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"半球/一球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.75,"asiaHomeWater":1.0,"asiaAwayWater":0.88},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1384482","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T00:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 08:30","leagueEn":"巴西乙","leagueZh":"巴西乙","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"累西腓航海","away":"隆德里纳","homeZh":"累西腓航海","awayZh":"隆德里纳","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.525,"D":0.2687,"A":0.2063},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.176,"valueDiff":0.0795,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.071,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.525,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|累西腓航海|隆德里纳","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.525,"D":0.2687,"A":0.2063},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.176,"valueDiff":0.0795,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.071,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.525,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"45","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.89,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.99},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.02,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.77},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.8,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.9}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.5,"asiaHomeWater":0.89,"asiaAwayWater":0.99},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1362321","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T00:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 08:30","leagueEn":"巴西甲","leagueZh":"巴西甲","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"圣保罗","away":"巴拉纳竞技","homeZh":"圣保罗","awayZh":"巴拉纳竞技","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":2,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.4378,"D":0.3107,"A":0.2515},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0193,"valueDiff":-0.0077,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4378,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|圣保罗|巴拉纳竞技","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.4378,"D":0.3107,"A":0.2515},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0193,"valueDiff":-0.0077,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4378,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"41","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.1,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.79},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.02,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.82},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.98,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.8}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.5,"asiaHomeWater":1.1,"asiaAwayWater":0.79},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1362293","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T00:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 08:30","leagueEn":"巴西甲","leagueZh":"巴西甲","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"沙佩科恩斯","away":"弗拉门戈","homeZh":"沙佩科恩斯","awayZh":"弗拉门戈","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":0,"scoreAway":4,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"A","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.1264,"D":0.1926,"A":0.681},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":1.3084,"valueDiff":0.3863,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.681,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|沙佩科恩斯|弗拉门戈","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.1264,"D":0.1926,"A":0.681},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":1.3084,"valueDiff":0.3863,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.681,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"40","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.02,"handicap":"受一球","awayWater":0.86},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.75,"handicap":"受球半","awayWater":1.05},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"受一球/球半","awayWater":0.88}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"受一球","asiaHandicapValue":1.0,"asiaHomeWater":1.02,"asiaAwayWater":0.86},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1413178","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T00:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 08:30","leagueEn":"南俱杯","leagueZh":"南俱杯","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"拉努斯","away":"西恩夏诺","homeZh":"拉努斯","awayZh":"西恩夏诺","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.7305,"D":0.1797,"A":0.0898},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.6363,"valueDiff":0.285,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.7305,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|拉努斯|西恩夏诺","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.7305,"D":0.1797,"A":0.0898},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.6363,"valueDiff":0.285,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.7305,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"附加赛","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"39","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.93,"handicap":"球半","awayWater":0.93},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"球半","awayWater":0.9},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.8,"handicap":"球半","awayWater":0.98}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"球半","asiaHandicapValue":-1.5,"asiaHomeWater":0.93,"asiaAwayWater":0.93},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1413173","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T00:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 08:30","leagueEn":"南俱杯","leagueZh":"南俱杯","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"水晶竞技","away":"布拉干蒂诺RB","homeZh":"水晶竞技","awayZh":"布拉干蒂诺RB","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":0,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"D","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.3104,"D":0.3113,"A":0.3782},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.2822,"valueDiff":0.0835,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.059,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.3782,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|水晶竞技|布拉干蒂诺rb","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.3104,"D":0.3113,"A":0.3782},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.2822,"valueDiff":0.0835,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.059,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.3782,"predictedAt":"","actual":"D","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"附加赛","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"38","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.11,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.78},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.02,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.77},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.8,"handicap":"受平手/半球","awayWater":0.98}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手","asiaHandicapValue":0.0,"asiaHomeWater":1.11,"asiaAwayWater":0.78},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358441","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-23T00:20:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 08:20","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"夏洛特FC","away":"亚特兰大联","homeZh":"夏洛特FC","awayZh":"亚特兰大联","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":2,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"D","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.442,"D":0.2943,"A":0.2637},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0099,"valueDiff":-0.0035,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.442,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|夏洛特fc|亚特兰大联","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.442,"D":0.2943,"A":0.2637},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0099,"valueDiff":-0.0035,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.442,"predictedAt":"","actual":"D","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"37","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.93,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.95},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.9},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.88,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.88}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.93,"asiaAwayWater":0.95},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358438","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T23:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 07:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"费城联合","away":"纽约红牛","homeZh":"费城联合","awayZh":"纽约红牛","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":3,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.5572,"D":0.236,"A":0.2068},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.2481,"valueDiff":0.1117,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1001,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5572,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|费城联合|纽约红牛","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.5572,"D":0.236,"A":0.2068},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.2481,"valueDiff":0.1117,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1001,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5572,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"35","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.94},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.95,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.85},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.8,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.98}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"半球/一球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.75,"asiaHomeWater":0.94,"asiaAwayWater":0.94},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358437","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T23:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 07:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"新英格兰革命","away":"多伦多FC","homeZh":"新英格兰革命","awayZh":"多伦多FC","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":0,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"D","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.5182,"D":0.2487,"A":0.233},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.1608,"valueDiff":0.0727,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0648,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5182,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|新英格兰革命|多伦多fc","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.5182,"D":0.2487,"A":0.233},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.1608,"valueDiff":0.0727,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0648,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5182,"predictedAt":"","actual":"D","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"34","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.02,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.87},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.97,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.82},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.88}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.5,"asiaHomeWater":1.02,"asiaAwayWater":0.87},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358435","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T23:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 07:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"迈阿密国际","away":"芝加哥火焰","homeZh":"迈阿密国际","awayZh":"芝加哥火焰","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":3,"scoreAway":2,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.3189,"D":0.3176,"A":0.3636},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.2325,"valueDiff":0.0689,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0486,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.3636,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|迈阿密国际|芝加哥火焰","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.3189,"D":0.3176,"A":0.3636},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.2325,"valueDiff":0.0689,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0486,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.3636,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"33","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.98,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.9},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.97,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.82},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.98,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.78}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手","asiaHandicapValue":0.0,"asiaHomeWater":0.98,"asiaAwayWater":0.9},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358431","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T23:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 07:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"哥伦布机员","away":"纽约城","homeZh":"哥伦布机员","awayZh":"纽约城","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":2,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.4324,"D":0.2826,"A":0.2849},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0314,"valueDiff":-0.0131,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4324,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|哥伦布机员|纽约城","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.4324,"D":0.2826,"A":0.2849},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0314,"valueDiff":-0.0131,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4324,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"32","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.97,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.93},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.97,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.82},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.84}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.97,"asiaAwayWater":0.93},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1358428","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T23:40:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 07:40","leagueEn":"美职","leagueZh":"美职","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"辛辛那提FC","away":"温哥华白浪","homeZh":"辛辛那提FC","awayZh":"温哥华白浪","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":4,"scoreAway":3,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.2382,"D":0.2386,"A":0.5232},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.7736,"valueDiff":0.2285,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1618,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5232,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|辛辛那提fc|温哥华白浪","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.2382,"D":0.2386,"A":0.5232},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.7736,"valueDiff":0.2285,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1618,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5232,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第16轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"31","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.93,"handicap":"受半球","awayWater":0.95},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.87,"handicap":"受半球","awayWater":0.92},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.86,"handicap":"受半球","awayWater":0.9}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"受半球","asiaHandicapValue":0.5,"asiaHomeWater":0.93,"asiaAwayWater":0.95},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1384133","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T23:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 07:30","leagueEn":"巴西乙","leagueZh":"巴西乙","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"戈亚斯","away":"累西腓体育","homeZh":"戈亚斯","awayZh":"累西腓体育","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"D","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.4277,"D":0.3065,"A":0.2658},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0419,"valueDiff":-0.0178,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4277,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|戈亚斯|累西腓体育","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.4277,"D":0.3065,"A":0.2658},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0419,"valueDiff":-0.0178,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4277,"predictedAt":"","actual":"D","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"36","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.79,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":1.08},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.77,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":1.02},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.84,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.86}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.79,"asiaAwayWater":1.08},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1384131","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T22:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 06:30","leagueEn":"巴西乙","leagueZh":"巴西乙","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"塞阿拉","away":"雷加塔斯巴西","homeZh":"塞阿拉","awayZh":"雷加塔斯巴西","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":0,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.4217,"D":0.2777,"A":0.3006},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0553,"valueDiff":-0.0238,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4217,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|塞阿拉|雷加塔斯巴西","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.4217,"D":0.2777,"A":0.3006},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0553,"valueDiff":-0.0238,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4217,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"30","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.94},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.9},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.79,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.91}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.94,"asiaAwayWater":0.94},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1384135","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T22:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 06:30","leagueEn":"巴西乙","leagueZh":"巴西乙","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"铁路工人","away":"庞特普雷塔","homeZh":"铁路工人","awayZh":"庞特普雷塔","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":3,"scoreAway":2,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.7335,"D":0.17,"A":0.0965},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.6431,"valueDiff":0.288,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.7335,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|铁路工人|庞特普雷塔","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.7335,"D":0.17,"A":0.0965},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.6431,"valueDiff":0.288,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.7335,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"29","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.04,"handicap":"球半","awayWater":0.83},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"球半","awayWater":0.8},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.78,"handicap":"一球/球半","awayWater":0.92}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"球半","asiaHandicapValue":-1.5,"asiaHomeWater":1.04,"asiaAwayWater":0.83},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1413174","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T22:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 06:00","leagueEn":"南俱杯","leagueZh":"南俱杯","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"麦德林独立","away":"瓦斯科达伽马","homeZh":"麦德林独立","awayZh":"瓦斯科达伽马","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":2,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"D","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.3466,"D":0.3146,"A":0.3388},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.2236,"valueDiff":-0.0989,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3466,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|麦德林独立|瓦斯科达伽马","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3466,"D":0.3146,"A":0.3388},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.2236,"valueDiff":-0.0989,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3466,"predictedAt":"","actual":"D","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"附加赛","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"28","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.75,"handicap":"受平手/半球","awayWater":1.15},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.05,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.75},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.98,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.8}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"受平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.75,"asiaAwayWater":1.15},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1451034","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T17:45:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 01:45","leagueEn":"欧协资格","leagueZh":"欧协资格","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"巴萨克赛尔","away":"图尔库国际","homeZh":"巴萨克赛尔","awayZh":"图尔库国际","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"D","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.7712,"D":0.1518,"A":0.077},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.7274,"valueDiff":0.3257,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.7712,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|巴萨克赛尔|图尔库国际","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.7712,"D":0.1518,"A":0.077},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.7274,"valueDiff":0.3257,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.7712,"predictedAt":"","actual":"D","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"资格赛2","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"27","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.86,"handicap":"一球/两球","awayWater":0.98},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"一球/两球","awayWater":0.9},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"两球","awayWater":0.8}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"一球/两球","asiaHandicapValue":-1.75,"asiaHomeWater":0.86,"asiaAwayWater":0.98},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1364093","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T17:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 01:00","leagueEn":"挪超","leagueZh":"挪超","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"利勒斯特罗姆","away":"维京","homeZh":"利勒斯特罗姆","awayZh":"维京","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":2,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.319,"D":0.2896,"A":0.3914},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.3267,"valueDiff":0.0967,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0684,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.3914,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|利勒斯特罗姆|维京","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.319,"D":0.2896,"A":0.3914},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.3267,"valueDiff":0.0967,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0684,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.3914,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第11轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"26","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.84,"handicap":"受半球","awayWater":1.06},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.82,"handicap":"受半球","awayWater":0.97},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.78,"handicap":"受半球","awayWater":1.0}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"受半球","asiaHandicapValue":0.5,"asiaHomeWater":0.84,"asiaAwayWater":1.06},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1363497","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T17:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 01:00","leagueEn":"挪超","leagueZh":"挪超","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"博德闪耀","away":"汉坎","homeZh":"博德闪耀","awayZh":"汉坎","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":3,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.8945,"D":0.0695,"A":0.036},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":1.0036,"valueDiff":0.449,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.8945,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|博德闪耀|汉坎","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.8945,"D":0.0695,"A":0.036},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":1.0036,"valueDiff":0.449,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.8945,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第2轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"25","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.93,"handicap":"两球/三球","awayWater":0.91},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.87,"handicap":"两球/三球","awayWater":0.92},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"两球/三球","awayWater":0.84}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"两球/三球","asiaHandicapValue":-2.75,"asiaHomeWater":0.93,"asiaAwayWater":0.91},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1447313","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T17:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-23 01:00","leagueEn":"欧冠资格","leagueZh":"欧冠资格","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"奥莫尼亚","away":"凯拉特","homeZh":"奥莫尼亚","awayZh":"凯拉特","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.5937,"D":0.239,"A":0.1673},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.3299,"valueDiff":0.1482,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.133,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5937,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-23|奥莫尼亚|凯拉特","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.5937,"D":0.239,"A":0.1673},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.3299,"valueDiff":0.1482,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.133,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5937,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"资格赛第二轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"24","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.01,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.83},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.97,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.82},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.82}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"一球","asiaHandicapValue":-1.0,"asiaHomeWater":1.01,"asiaAwayWater":0.83},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1373176","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T10:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 18:30","leagueEn":"K1联赛","leagueZh":"K1联赛","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"FC首尔","away":"浦项铁人","homeZh":"FC首尔","awayZh":"浦项铁人","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":3,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.5804,"D":0.2484,"A":0.1712},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.3001,"valueDiff":0.1349,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.121,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5804,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|fc首尔|浦项铁人","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.5804,"D":0.2484,"A":0.1712},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.3001,"valueDiff":0.1349,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.121,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5804,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"23","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.93,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.95},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.9},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.88}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"半球/一球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.75,"asiaHomeWater":0.93,"asiaAwayWater":0.95},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1373205","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T10:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 18:30","leagueEn":"K1联赛","leagueZh":"K1联赛","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"光州FC","away":"金泉尚武","homeZh":"光州FC","awayZh":"金泉尚武","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"D","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.2809,"D":0.2562,"A":0.463},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.5694,"valueDiff":0.1683,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1191,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.463,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|光州fc|金泉尚武","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.2809,"D":0.2562,"A":0.463},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.5694,"valueDiff":0.1683,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1191,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.463,"predictedAt":"","actual":"D","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"22","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.02,"handicap":"受平手/半球","awayWater":0.89},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.87,"handicap":"受平手/半球","awayWater":0.92},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.92,"handicap":"受平手/半球","awayWater":0.86}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"受平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":0.25,"asiaHomeWater":1.02,"asiaAwayWater":0.89},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1373209","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T10:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 18:30","leagueEn":"K1联赛","leagueZh":"K1联赛","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"富川FC","away":"安养FC","homeZh":"富川FC","awayZh":"安养FC","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":3,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"A","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.3458,"D":0.2831,"A":0.3711},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.258,"valueDiff":0.0764,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.054,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.3711,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|富川fc|安养fc","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.3458,"D":0.2831,"A":0.3711},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.258,"valueDiff":0.0764,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.054,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.3711,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"21","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.02,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.88},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.97,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.82},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":1.04,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.74}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手","asiaHandicapValue":0.0,"asiaHomeWater":1.02,"asiaAwayWater":0.88},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1417981","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T03:05:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 11:05","leagueEn":"墨超","leagueZh":"墨超","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"托卢卡","away":"美洲狮","homeZh":"托卢卡","awayZh":"美洲狮","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":2,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.6261,"D":0.2177,"A":0.1562},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.4025,"valueDiff":0.1806,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1623,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.6261,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|托卢卡|美洲狮","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.6261,"D":0.2177,"A":0.1562},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.4025,"valueDiff":0.1806,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1623,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.6261,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第2轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"20","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.03,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.88},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.97,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.82},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"一球","awayWater":0.88}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"一球","asiaHandicapValue":-1.0,"asiaHomeWater":1.03,"asiaAwayWater":0.88},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1417980","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T01:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 09:00","leagueEn":"墨超","leagueZh":"墨超","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"蓝十字","away":"普埃布拉","homeZh":"蓝十字","awayZh":"普埃布拉","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.7413,"D":0.1703,"A":0.0884},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.6606,"valueDiff":0.2958,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.7413,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|蓝十字|普埃布拉","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.7413,"D":0.1703,"A":0.0884},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.6606,"valueDiff":0.2958,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.7413,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第2轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"19","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"球半","awayWater":0.9},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"球半","awayWater":0.9},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.98,"handicap":"球半","awayWater":0.8}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"球半","asiaHandicapValue":-1.5,"asiaHomeWater":1.0,"asiaAwayWater":0.9},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1384136","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T00:35:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 08:35","leagueEn":"巴西乙","leagueZh":"巴西乙","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"维拉诺瓦","away":"福塔雷萨","homeZh":"维拉诺瓦","awayZh":"福塔雷萨","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.3634,"D":0.3213,"A":0.3153},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.1859,"valueDiff":-0.0821,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3634,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|维拉诺瓦|福塔雷萨","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3634,"D":0.3213,"A":0.3153},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.1859,"valueDiff":-0.0821,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3634,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"18","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.8,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":1.11},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.77,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":1.02},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.72,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.98}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手","asiaHandicapValue":0.0,"asiaHomeWater":0.8,"asiaAwayWater":1.11},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1413179","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-22T00:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 08:30","leagueEn":"南俱杯","leagueZh":"南俱杯","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"委内瑞拉中央大学","away":"桑托斯","homeZh":"委内瑞拉中央大学","awayZh":"桑托斯","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":4,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.2052,"D":0.2316,"A":0.5632},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.9091,"valueDiff":0.2685,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1902,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5632,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|委内瑞拉中央大学|桑托斯","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.2052,"D":0.2316,"A":0.5632},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.9091,"valueDiff":0.2685,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1902,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5632,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"附加赛","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"17","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.88,"handicap":"受半球/一球","awayWater":0.98},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.85,"handicap":"受半球/一球","awayWater":0.95},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.86,"handicap":"受半球/一球","awayWater":0.92}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"受半球/一球","asiaHandicapValue":0.75,"asiaHomeWater":0.88,"asiaAwayWater":0.98},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1384129","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T22:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 06:30","leagueEn":"巴西乙","leagueZh":"巴西乙","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"阿瓦伊","away":"米内罗美洲","homeZh":"阿瓦伊","awayZh":"米内罗美洲","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.4167,"D":0.2953,"A":0.288},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0667,"valueDiff":-0.0288,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4167,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|阿瓦伊|米内罗美洲","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.4167,"D":0.2953,"A":0.288},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0667,"valueDiff":-0.0288,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4167,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"16","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.02,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.84},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.8},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.8,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.9}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":1.02,"asiaAwayWater":0.84},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1384134","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T22:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 06:30","leagueEn":"巴西乙","leagueZh":"巴西乙","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"诺瓦里桑蒂诺","away":"克里丘马","homeZh":"诺瓦里桑蒂诺","awayZh":"克里丘马","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":0,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.4234,"D":0.3093,"A":0.2673},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0515,"valueDiff":-0.0221,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4234,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|诺瓦里桑蒂诺|克里丘马","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.4234,"D":0.3093,"A":0.2673},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0515,"valueDiff":-0.0221,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4234,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"15","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.89,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.97},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.87,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.92},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.85,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.85}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.89,"asiaAwayWater":0.97},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1362317","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T22:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 06:30","leagueEn":"巴西甲","leagueZh":"巴西甲","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"米内罗竞技","away":"巴伊亚","homeZh":"米内罗竞技","awayZh":"巴伊亚","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":1,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"D","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.5023,"D":0.2775,"A":0.2201},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.1252,"valueDiff":0.0568,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0505,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5023,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|米内罗竞技|巴伊亚","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.5023,"D":0.2775,"A":0.2201},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.1252,"valueDiff":0.0568,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0505,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5023,"predictedAt":"","actual":"D","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"14","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.89,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":1.01},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.1,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.7},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.88}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.5,"asiaHomeWater":0.89,"asiaAwayWater":1.01},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1413176","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T22:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 06:00","leagueEn":"南俱杯","leagueZh":"南俱杯","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"乌拉圭民族","away":"堤格雷","homeZh":"乌拉圭民族","awayZh":"堤格雷","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":0,"scoreAway":3,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.3855,"D":0.327,"A":0.2875},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.1365,"valueDiff":-0.06,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3855,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|乌拉圭民族|堤格雷","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3855,"D":0.327,"A":0.2875},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.1365,"valueDiff":-0.06,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3855,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"附加赛","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"13","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.85},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.97,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.82},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.98,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.8}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":1.0,"asiaAwayWater":0.85},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1446639","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T19:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 03:00","leagueEn":"欧冠资格","leagueZh":"欧冠资格","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"拉恩","away":"贝尔格莱德红星","homeZh":"拉恩","awayZh":"贝尔格莱德红星","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":0,"scoreAway":4,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"A","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.0707,"D":0.1101,"A":0.8192},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":1.7771,"valueDiff":0.5245,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.8192,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|拉恩|贝尔格莱德红星","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.0707,"D":0.1101,"A":0.8192},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":1.7771,"valueDiff":0.5245,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.8192,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"资格赛第二轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"12","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"受两球","awayWater":0.84},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.02,"handicap":"受两球","awayWater":0.77},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"受两球","awayWater":0.84}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"受两球","asiaHandicapValue":2.0,"asiaHomeWater":1.0,"asiaAwayWater":0.84},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1414894","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T18:45:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 02:45","leagueEn":"苏联赛杯","leagueZh":"苏联赛杯","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"因弗内斯","away":"圣约翰斯通","homeZh":"因弗内斯","awayZh":"圣约翰斯通","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"A","pick":"A","actual":"H","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.2024,"D":0.2771,"A":0.5205},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.7644,"valueDiff":0.2258,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1599,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5205,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|因弗内斯|圣约翰斯通","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"A","pick":"A","probs":{"H":0.2024,"D":0.2771,"A":0.5205},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.7644,"valueDiff":0.2258,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.1599,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5205,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"分组赛","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"10","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.01,"handicap":"受半球","awayWater":0.8},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"受半球","awayWater":0.8},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"受半球","awayWater":0.76}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"受半球","asiaHandicapValue":0.5,"asiaHomeWater":1.01,"asiaAwayWater":0.8},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1427657","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T18:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 02:30","leagueEn":"欧冠资格","leagueZh":"欧冠资格","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"格拉茨风暴","away":"哈茨","homeZh":"格拉茨风暴","awayZh":"哈茨","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":4,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.5135,"D":0.279,"A":0.2075},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.1502,"valueDiff":0.068,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0606,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5135,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|格拉茨风暴|哈茨","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.5135,"D":0.279,"A":0.2075},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.1502,"valueDiff":0.068,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0606,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.5135,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"资格赛第二轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"9","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.84,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":1.02},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.97,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.82},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"半球/一球","awayWater":0.78}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.5,"asiaHomeWater":0.84,"asiaAwayWater":1.02},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1427654","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T18:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 02:00","leagueEn":"欧冠资格","leagueZh":"欧冠资格","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"费内巴切","away":"扎布热矿工","homeZh":"费内巴切","awayZh":"扎布热矿工","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.8165,"D":0.1299,"A":0.0536},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.8289,"valueDiff":0.371,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.8165,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|费内巴切|扎布热矿工","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.8165,"D":0.1299,"A":0.0536},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.8289,"valueDiff":0.371,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.8165,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"资格赛第二轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"8","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.92,"handicap":"两球","awayWater":0.92},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.82,"handicap":"两球","awayWater":0.97},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.92,"handicap":"两球","awayWater":0.86}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"两球","asiaHandicapValue":-2.0,"asiaHomeWater":0.92,"asiaAwayWater":0.92},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1364883","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T17:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 01:00","leagueEn":"瑞典甲","leagueZh":"瑞典甲","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"法尔肯堡","away":"赫尔辛堡","homeZh":"法尔肯堡","awayZh":"赫尔辛堡","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":2,"scoreAway":3,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.4608,"D":0.2699,"A":0.2693},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.0323,"valueDiff":0.0153,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.013,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.4608,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|法尔肯堡|赫尔辛堡","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.4608,"D":0.2699,"A":0.2693},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.0323,"valueDiff":0.0153,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.013,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.4608,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第15轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"7","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.86,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":1.0},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.9},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.96,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.74}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.86,"asiaAwayWater":1.0},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1427652","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T17:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 01:00","leagueEn":"欧冠资格","leagueZh":"欧冠资格","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"奥胡斯","away":"波兹南莱赫","homeZh":"奥胡斯","awayZh":"波兹南莱赫","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":4,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.3581,"D":0.285,"A":0.3569},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.1978,"valueDiff":-0.0874,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3581,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|奥胡斯|波兹南莱赫","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3581,"D":0.285,"A":0.3569},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.1978,"valueDiff":-0.0874,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3581,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"资格赛第二轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"6","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.92,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.93},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.95,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.85},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.9,"handicap":"平手","awayWater":0.86}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手","asiaHandicapValue":0.0,"asiaHomeWater":0.92,"asiaAwayWater":0.93},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1370859","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T16:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 00:00","leagueEn":"芬甲","leagueZh":"芬甲","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"卡亚尼卡帕","away":"克鲁比04","homeZh":"卡亚尼卡帕","awayZh":"克鲁比04","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":0,"scoreAway":2,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.4031,"D":0.2903,"A":0.3065},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.097,"valueDiff":-0.0424,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4031,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|卡亚尼卡帕|克鲁比04","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.4031,"D":0.2903,"A":0.3065},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.097,"valueDiff":-0.0424,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4031,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第13轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"5","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.99,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.86},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.8},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.7}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.99,"asiaAwayWater":0.86},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1446630","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T16:00:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-22 00:00","leagueEn":"欧冠资格","leagueZh":"欧冠资格","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"米亚尔比","away":"林肯红魔","homeZh":"米亚尔比","awayZh":"林肯红魔","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":3,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"H","correct":true,"probs":{"H":0.8532,"D":0.1028,"A":0.044},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.9112,"valueDiff":0.4077,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.8532,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-22|米亚尔比|林肯红魔","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.8532,"D":0.1028,"A":0.044},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":0.9112,"valueDiff":0.4077,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.25,"isPositiveEV":true,"confidence":0.8532,"predictedAt":"","actual":"H","correct":true}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"资格赛第二轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"4","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"两球/2球半","awayWater":0.89},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":0.92,"handicap":"两球/2球半","awayWater":0.87},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"两球/2球半","awayWater":0.84}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"两球/2球半","asiaHandicapValue":-2.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.94,"asiaAwayWater":0.89},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1373218","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T10:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-21 18:30","leagueEn":"K1联赛","leagueZh":"K1联赛","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"全北现代","away":"大田市民","homeZh":"全北现代","awayZh":"大田市民","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":0,"scoreAway":0,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"D","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.4431,"D":0.2863,"A":0.2706},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0076,"valueDiff":-0.0024,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4431,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-21|全北现代|大田市民","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.4431,"D":0.2863,"A":0.2706},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.0076,"valueDiff":-0.0024,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.4431,"predictedAt":"","actual":"D","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"3","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":0.83,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":1.1},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.8},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":1.04,"handicap":"半球","awayWater":0.74}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":0.83,"asiaAwayWater":1.1},{"matchId":"500.com-zqdc:1373207","datetimeUtc":"2026-07-21T10:30:00+00:00","datetimeBeijing":"2026-07-21 18:30","leagueEn":"K1联赛","leagueZh":"K1联赛","leagueShortcut":"ZQDC","home":"蔚山HD","away":"仁川联","homeZh":"蔚山HD","awayZh":"仁川联","homeIcon":"","awayIcon":"","scoreHome":1,"scoreAway":2,"direction":"H","pick":"H","actual":"A","correct":false,"probs":{"H":0.3757,"D":0.2982,"A":0.3261},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.1585,"valueDiff":-0.0698,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3757,"predictedAt":"","gameKey":"2026-07-21|蔚山hd|仁川联","source":"500.com-zqdc","modelPredictions":[{"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","direction":"H","pick":"H","probs":{"H":0.3757,"D":0.2982,"A":0.3261},"marketProbs":{"H":0.4455,"D":0.2598,"A":0.2947},"bookOdds":{"H":2.24,"D":3.85,"A":3.39},"marketSource":"league_baseline","ev":-0.1585,"valueDiff":-0.0698,"evThreshold":0.03,"halfKellyStake":0.0,"isPositiveEV":false,"confidence":0.3757,"predictedAt":"","actual":"A","correct":false}],"modelKey":"m1","modelNumber":1,"modelId":"valuebet_xg_kelly_pro","modelLabelEn":"ValueBet XG - Kelly Pro","modelLabelZh":"盈球价值引擎","leagueRound":"第19轮","finished":true,"sourceIssue":"26077","fixtureNo":"2","oddsAll":[{"company":"平博","homeWater":1.07,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.85},{"company":"Bet365","homeWater":1.0,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.8},{"company":"澳门","homeWater":0.94,"handicap":"平手/半球","awayWater":0.84}],"oddsCompany":"平博","asiaHandicap":"平手/半球","asiaHandicapValue":-0.25,"asiaHomeWater":1.07,"asiaAwayWater":0.85}]}